Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 3.764965e-05 0.000045 0.000053 0.000062 0.000072 0.000083 0.000095
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 2.776562e-05 0.000037 0.000047 0.000060 0.000074 0.000091 0.000111
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 2.139749e-05 0.000031 0.000043 0.000058 0.000076 0.000097 0.000124
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1.749088e-05 0.000028 0.000040 0.000058 0.000079 0.000105 0.000138
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1.403037e-05 0.000024 0.000038 0.000056 0.000081 0.000111 0.000149
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.137631e-05 0.000021 0.000035 0.000055 0.000082 0.000116 0.000160
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 9.133293e-06 0.000019 0.000033 0.000054 0.000083 0.000120 0.000169
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 7.115085e-06 0.000016 0.000030 0.000051 0.000082 0.000122 0.000176
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 5.372473e-06 0.000014 0.000027 0.000049 0.000080 0.000123 0.000181
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 4.187841e-06 0.000012 0.000025 0.000047 0.000080 0.000125 0.000188
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.861049e-06 0.000012 0.000026 0.000049 0.000085 0.000135 0.000205
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.117018e-06 0.000010 0.000024 0.000049 0.000086 0.000139 0.000214
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.351484e-06 0.000009 0.000023 0.000049 0.000089 0.000146 0.000230
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.567197e-06 0.000008 0.000021 0.000047 0.000089 0.000150 0.000240
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.028596e-06 0.000006 0.000019 0.000045 0.000089 0.000154 0.000252
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 7.224557e-07 0.000005 0.000018 0.000045 0.000091 0.000161 0.000267
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 4.519596e-07 0.000005 0.000017 0.000044 0.000092 0.000166 0.000279
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.715235e-07 0.000004 0.000016 0.000043 0.000093 0.000171 0.000292
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.453397e-07 0.000003 0.000014 0.000042 0.000093 0.000175 0.000303
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 6.113679e-08 0.000002 0.000013 0.000040 0.000092 0.000176 0.000310
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.708927e-08 0.000002 0.000011 0.000037 0.000090 0.000176 0.000316
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 3.373126e-09 0.000001 0.000010 0.000036 0.000089 0.000179 0.000324
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 1.736390e-09 0.000001 0.000011 0.000038 0.000095 0.000191 0.000348